AAFP Issues Primary Care Workforce Projections by State

Arizona projected to need 1,941 primary care docs by 2030, mainly due to population growth

FRIDAY, Oct. 11 (HealthDay News) -- The American Association of Family Physicians (AAFP) has issued primary care physician workforce projections for the next 25 years for each state, according to a statement from the association.

The projections are based on a combination of factors used to identify workforce requirements for each state, and focus on increased patient demand likely to result from an aging population, overall population growth, and expansions in health care coverage.

For example, Arizona is projected to need an extra 1,941 primary care physicians by 2030 (a 50 percent increase from the current number). Of this number, population growth is expected to necessitate the requirement for an extra 1,466 physicians; increased utilization for 360; and expanded health care coverage for 115 physicians.

"These workforce projections will provide timely information to policymakers and advocates at the state level, giving them a better sense of different forces that will affect the future needs of primary care physicians," said Stephen Petterson, Ph.D., from the Robert Graham Center in Washington, D.C., according to the coverage from the AAFP.

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